We had a nice turnaround last weekend, back on the right side of .500.
Busy weekend, so have to be brief here:
Army (pk) @ Kent State
Wyoming (-4) @ UNLV
Indiana (+22) @ Wisconsin
Ohio State (-18) vs Penn State
TCU (-28) vs San Diego State
Illinois (-21) vs Minnesota
SportsDork Year to Date: 29-27
Looking to rebound after last week’s awfulness. I can’t believe the Boise line, at home no less. Hawaii may be the best of the WAC fodder, but this is a mistake.
UCF (-2.5) @ Houston
Baylor (+8.5) @ OK St
Kansas (+8.5) vs Colorado
Boise St (-21) vs Hawaii
Teaser — Dolphins +11.5, Bucs +15
Teaser — Lions +12.5, Giants -1
Overall Record: 25-26
6-2?! I’m wondering if Doug Marrone really has turned this program around. The defensive statistics say yes — things are significantly better — but right now the offense is really taking advantage of mistakes and getting a bit fortunate.
And surely the Big East is weaker this season, but who cares? The program and the fanbase are revitalized, and this team sure seems headed for its first bowl game in way too long.
Gambling: Tonight I’m taking the Texans +6. Brutal college football slate on Saturday. Took us below .500 for the first time in many weeks.
Year to Date: 25-26
Quickly, here’s what I’m looking at for Fri/Saturday games.
WVU @ UConn OVER 45
Both of these teams played awful last weekend and will be looking to rebound. The number is lower than usual thanks to that. Looking for WVU to get up near 30 in this game.
Clemson (-7) @ BC
The Eagles are terrible and this line is too low, even at BC. Clemson is going to handle them offensively and defensively.
Utah (-7) @ Air Force
The Utes continue to be underrated. The line on this game almost makes me wonder if it’s a trap game by the books, but I’m not going to be scared away in a game I think Utah wins by 3 touchdowns.
Ole Miss (+7) vs Auburn
Auburn is coming off a huge win. Ole Miss is really tough at home and great ATS there. Love all the factors about this game.
SportsDork Bets Record to Date: 25-22
It’s been tough to keep everything logged here. During the week with the job and family, it’s been a real struggle. Hopefully I get better at it.
There’s quite a bit of action on the board that I like this weekend. NFL lines are really tight with a couple of notable exceptions. That can make some uncomfortable, but also gives opportunities.
Cleveland (+14) at New Orleans
The Saints are coming off a big road win, which pushed this line up huge. Any time you are getting two touchdowns in the NFL, you should consider taking the points. I’m going to with the Browns this week.
San Diego (-2.5) vs New England
One team is coming off a surprising road loss as the favorite. The other is coming off a big win at home against a rival. I love the Chargers here, especially with tons of action coming in on the Patriots. The Chargers are excellent at home, but have been a terrible road team. The Patriots are traveling all the way across the country, always a good reason to think about the home team. Take the Bolts.
Redskins (+10) @ Chicago and Miami (+10) vs Pittsburgh
NFL lines are so tight and so well researched, it’s the reason I love two team teasers. This week I like giving these two teams double-digit cushions.
West Virginia -14 vs Syracuse
WVU can put up points and Syracuse does not have the speed to stay with them. Syracuse has gotten better, but they don’t have the players to keep this thing close.
Nebraska vs Oklahoma St UNDER 60
The Cowboys have been scoring a ton of points — but against mediocre competition. Nebraska keeps the scoring reasonable here with their running game and their defense.
UNC (+7) @ Miami
Love the Heels here, who have been playing much better. Hold out on this one as long as possible to see if late money comes in the Hurricanes. You might get +7.5.
SportsDork.com Record To Date: 23-18
*May or may not actually be smart
The weeknd… Saturday night we get the Lincecum and Halladay matchup, which is so fantastic it actually pushed the Yankees out of primetime (and that is a beautiful thing). More Giants/Phils on Sunday night in primetime, with a weekend full of football betting.
First off, tonight’s game. You could reasonably take the Rangers ML and the Rangers with the +1.5 they are getting. But I’m throwing down on the Under. CJ Wilson is the real deal (and CC is CC), and Vegas has put the line at 8/8.5. Get 8.5 if you can, I had to settle for 8. I’m also putting a smaller wager on Rangers +1.5.
Tomorrow, nothing taken yet, but leaning:
Ohio St -4
SportsDork Bets to Date: 21-15
A red hot gambling day is a fantastic feeling. This weekend was a tremendous 48 hours. Not only did I hit the three picks I posted here, I kept it rolling the whole weekend — and managed to control the urge to let it ride on Sunday night adventures.
So first were the three that I posted here. While the noon games were going, I decided to also ride Michigan State at +4.5. Ding. That made for a 4-0 college football day. I made one bad bet on NFL Sunday, mistakenly teasing Buffalo and Atlanta together. Stupid.
I hit on Tennessee +7 at Dallas and the Philly/SF Over. That made for a 6-1 weekend.
Tonight I’m making two bets on the MNF game. Taking the Vikes +4.5, and under 39.5.
What I’m rolling with today.
Georgia -11.5 vs Tenn
Tennessee is terrible. Terrible. Terrible. This will be a rout.
Arkansas -6 vs Texas A&M
Like the Hogs defense to control the game and force a few turnovers.
Cal (ML), Stanford (ML), Georgia Tech (ML) Parlay
Think all three of these teams win at home today, like making small money line parlays on favorites.
Had a great 10 days in Hawaii. Being that far removed from the daytime news cycle really makes for a real vacation for a guy like (and probably you) who spends their day in an office and surrounded by the ceaseless news/sports chatter.
I was able to keep up with bets a bit, anyway. Unfortunately, the flights out to Honolulu covered virtually the entire NFL slate in Week 3. So not only did I miss the most dominating performance by the Eagles this season, I missed out on gambling altogether that day. But here’s how the rest of my work played out.
Texas A&M (+3.5) @ Oklahoma State
This one really had me sweating it out, but A&M managed to cover in in the end.
Colorado State (+34.5) versus TCU
TCU kept the Rams off the board completely, but the offense never really kicked it into high gear here. I thought this line was too high for a road game and it paid off.
Alabama (ML) and Iowa (ML) Parlay
In retrospect, should have just taken them individually rather than make the gambling n00b play. But this bet paid, so no worries.
New England @ Miami (Under 48.5)
Got burned by the Dolphins awful special teams here. Even with the kickoff return for a TD and the field goal block TD, this game only got to 55. Dammit.
Record Last Weekend: 3-1
Overall: 13-13 (yuck, but staying afloat)
To get rolling this weekend, I’m taking a little baseball action today (Rangers ML). Love the CJ Wilson versus James Shields matchup for the Rangers.
I’m also leaning towards taking Arkansas against A&M (neutral site game) on Saturday, but no finality yet.
I made a small wager on SMU +18.5 last night, so a little momentum heading into the weekend which is always nice. A bit of a rush today with an early flight tomorrow to Honolulu. It’s sun and cocktails for the next 10 days.
Boise St – 17 (got it on Thursday, it’s -18 or higher now).
South Carolina +3 (love them over Auburn, who I see as one dimensional)
Arkansas +7.5 (this game should be tight the whole way with the Razorbacks hosting. As soon as it went over a touchdown it was a must take).
Florida Atlanta -10 (North Texas was already awful before they were devastated by losing 10 starters to injury)
Oklahoma -14 (the Bearcats, like the rest of the Big East, are awful).
Yearly Record: 9-8
Hoping to be able to update here before tomorrow’s games start, but I’ll list myself as doubtful.