NFL Betting… Can’t Be Any Worse

The line has been moving slightly on this game.  It started at either Saints -4.5 or Saints -5, and it’s now at -6 on Bodog.

There are competing thoughts as to who’s got the upper hand on this one.  Many smart observers remember how much the Vikings dominated the NFC Championship last season.  That their repeated fumbles are what cost them the victory, and that the teams are returning in much the same form.

On the other hand, the Vikings are extremely thin in the secondary — which is obviously bad news against Drew Brees.  They’re looking at an inexperienced safety as their nickel corner.  Not a good situation when you’re playing a Saints’ offense that knows how to exploit weaknesses.

So I’m avoiding that line and going for the over/under.  Saints games made it to 49 in ten of their sixteen regular season contests in 2009.

I think we see more big plays all over the field tonight and both teams light up the scoreboard , so I’m taking OVER 49.

Season Record (only NCAA so far):  0-4  (yikes).

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